diff --git a/package.json b/package.json
index 87ff995f1f..836e974d47 100644
--- a/package.json
+++ b/package.json
@@ -8,10 +8,10 @@
     "packages/*"
   ],
   "resolutions": {
-    "@polkadot/api": "^1.10.0-beta.23",
-    "@polkadot/api-contract": "^1.10.0-beta.23",
+    "@polkadot/api": "^1.10.0-beta.24",
+    "@polkadot/api-contract": "^1.10.0-beta.24",
     "@polkadot/keyring": "^2.8.1",
-    "@polkadot/types": "^1.10.0-beta.23",
+    "@polkadot/types": "^1.10.0-beta.24",
     "@polkadot/util": "^2.8.1",
     "@polkadot/util-crypto": "^2.8.1",
     "babel-core": "^7.0.0-bridge.0",
diff --git a/packages/page-contracts/package.json b/packages/page-contracts/package.json
index 636150089a..5e936b6747 100644
--- a/packages/page-contracts/package.json
+++ b/packages/page-contracts/package.json
@@ -12,6 +12,6 @@
   "license": "Apache-2.0",
   "dependencies": {
     "@babel/runtime": "^7.9.2",
-    "@polkadot/api-contract": "^1.10.0-beta.23"
+    "@polkadot/api-contract": "^1.10.0-beta.24"
   }
 }
diff --git a/packages/page-democracy/src/Overview/ReferendumVotes.tsx b/packages/page-democracy/src/Overview/ReferendumVotes.tsx
index 227e1e3640..46b7813ff0 100644
--- a/packages/page-democracy/src/Overview/ReferendumVotes.tsx
+++ b/packages/page-democracy/src/Overview/ReferendumVotes.tsx
@@ -75,8 +75,8 @@ function ReferendumVotes ({ change, className, count, index, isWinning, total, v
                 <Tooltip
                   text={
                     isWinning
-                      ? t('That amount this total can be reduced by to change the referendum outcome, assuming changes to the convictions of the existing votes.')
-                      : t('The amount this total should be increased by to change the referendum outcome, assuming changes to the convictions of the existing votes.')
+                      ? t('That amount this total can be reduced by to change the referendum outcome. This assumes changes to the convictions of the existing votes, with not additional turnout.')
+                      : t('The amount this total should be increased by to change the referendum outcome. This assumes additional turnout with new votes at 1x conviction.')
                   }
                   trigger={trigger}
                 />
diff --git a/packages/page-democracy/src/util.ts b/packages/page-democracy/src/util.ts
index 801944b135..6b2c8a81a2 100644
--- a/packages/page-democracy/src/util.ts
+++ b/packages/page-democracy/src/util.ts
@@ -55,7 +55,9 @@ function getDiffs (votes: BN, total: BN, change: BN, inc: BN, totalInc: 0 | 0.1
 // loop changes over aye, using the diffs above, returning when an outcome change is made
 function calcChangeAye (threshold: VoteThreshold, sqrtElectorate: BN, { votedAye, votedNay, votedTotal }: ApproxState, isPassing: boolean, changeAye: BN, inc: BN): BN {
   while (true) {
-    const [newChangeAye, newAye, newTotal] = getDiffs(votedAye, votedTotal, changeAye, inc, 0, isPassing ? -1 : 1);
+    // if this one is passing, we only adjust the convictions (since it goes down), if it is failing
+    // we assume new votes needs to be added, do those at 1x conviction
+    const [newChangeAye, newAye, newTotal] = getDiffs(votedAye, votedTotal, changeAye, inc, isPassing ? 0 : 1, isPassing ? -1 : 1);
     const newResult = calcPassing(threshold, sqrtElectorate, { votedAye: newAye, votedNay, votedTotal: newTotal });
 
     if (newResult !== isPassing) {
@@ -69,7 +71,10 @@ function calcChangeAye (threshold: VoteThreshold, sqrtElectorate: BN, { votedAye
 // loop changes over nay, using the diffs above, returning when an outcome change is made
 function calcChangeNay (threshold: VoteThreshold, sqrtElectorate: BN, { votedAye, votedNay, votedTotal }: ApproxState, isPassing: boolean, changeNay: BN, inc: BN): BN {
   while (true) {
-    const [newChangeNay, newNay, newTotal] = getDiffs(votedNay, votedTotal, changeNay, inc, 0, isPassing ? 1 : -1);
+    // if this one is passing, we only adjust the convictions (since it goes down), if it is failing
+    // we assume new votes needs to be added, do those at 1x conviction
+    // NOTE: We use isPassing here, so it is reversed from what we find in the aye calc
+    const [newChangeNay, newNay, newTotal] = getDiffs(votedNay, votedTotal, changeNay, inc, isPassing ? 1 : 0, isPassing ? 1 : -1);
     const newResult = calcPassing(threshold, sqrtElectorate, { votedAye, votedNay: newNay, votedTotal: newTotal });
 
     if (newResult !== isPassing) {
diff --git a/packages/react-api/package.json b/packages/react-api/package.json
index cb6367fb51..f6ce4df0b7 100644
--- a/packages/react-api/package.json
+++ b/packages/react-api/package.json
@@ -31,7 +31,7 @@
   "homepage": "https://github.com/polkadot-js/ui/tree/master/packages/ui-reactive#readme",
   "dependencies": {
     "@babel/runtime": "^7.9.2",
-    "@polkadot/api": "^1.10.0-beta.23",
+    "@polkadot/api": "^1.10.0-beta.24",
     "@polkadot/extension-dapp": "^0.24.0-beta.17",
     "rxjs-compat": "^6.5.5"
   }
diff --git a/yarn.lock b/yarn.lock
index 6bd50aee89..7895ff3e52 100644
--- a/yarn.lock
+++ b/yarn.lock
@@ -2836,57 +2836,57 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
   linkType: hard
 
-"@polkadot/api-contract@npm:^1.10.0-beta.23":
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-  resolution: "@polkadot/api-contract@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/api-contract@npm:^1.10.0-beta.24":
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-    "@polkadot/rpc-core": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/api": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/rpc-core": 1.10.0-beta.24
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     "@polkadot/util": ^2.8.1
     bn.js: ^5.1.1
     rxjs: ^6.5.5
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-  resolution: "@polkadot/api-derive@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/api-derive@npm:1.10.0-beta.24":
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+  resolution: "@polkadot/api-derive@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
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-    "@polkadot/rpc-provider": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/api": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/rpc-core": 1.10.0-beta.24
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     "@polkadot/util-crypto": ^2.8.1
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-"@polkadot/api@npm:^1.10.0-beta.23":
-  version: 1.10.0-beta.23
-  resolution: "@polkadot/api@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/api@npm:^1.10.0-beta.24":
+  version: 1.10.0-beta.24
+  resolution: "@polkadot/api@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/api-derive": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/api-derive": 1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/keyring": ^2.8.1
-    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/rpc-core": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/rpc-provider": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types-known": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/rpc-core": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/rpc-provider": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/types-known": 1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/util": ^2.8.1
     "@polkadot/util-crypto": ^2.8.1
     bn.js: ^5.1.1
     eventemitter3: ^4.0.0
     rxjs: ^6.5.5
-  checksum: 2/f6ceffb0322da12423392be43491612fd1c3f94b6924d638aee856d165d8fa2956d0945bcd748b665741025d9397828738af80f12756db956d58e955a73c77bc
+  checksum: 2/a60d65c44bd78aa0f47c2eb9107bdb2dd44c94a2992c3bcb6ca99e5c04b745851175a65029303b3044886881dbb1ed70869dc721c77dc4f6b9cdcc151ef71b4d
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@@ -2927,7 +2927,7 @@ __metadata:
   resolution: "@polkadot/app-contracts@workspace:packages/page-contracts"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/api-contract": ^1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/api-contract": ^1.10.0-beta.24
   languageName: unknown
   linkType: soft
 
@@ -3252,17 +3252,17 @@ __metadata:
   languageName: node
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-  version: 1.10.0-beta.23
-  resolution: "@polkadot/metadata@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/metadata@npm:1.10.0-beta.24":
+  version: 1.10.0-beta.24
+  resolution: "@polkadot/metadata@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types-known": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/types-known": 1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/util": ^2.8.1
     "@polkadot/util-crypto": ^2.8.1
     bn.js: ^5.1.1
-  checksum: 2/976eb9fe6f69109f03555d683c6145881863c1bcfac959cfe1206e11d0b8dfc1b64a24814c83f0eae7dab3394f07c2ef8013f4970b9ac3a82cbde6357d7d2871
+  checksum: 2/7a7157c2640ab84765c9d0b11c37f6cf5b39bf73e93299ba3a0dcbf758c5724509d8c46e96381b06d3874f27d020e89874bddb71d2612650d9efb33c728d92ce
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@@ -3271,7 +3271,7 @@ __metadata:
   resolution: "@polkadot/react-api@workspace:packages/react-api"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/api": ^1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/api": ^1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/extension-dapp": ^0.24.0-beta.17
     rxjs-compat: ^6.5.5
   languageName: unknown
@@ -3388,35 +3388,35 @@ __metadata:
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   linkType: soft
 
-"@polkadot/rpc-core@npm:1.10.0-beta.23":
-  version: 1.10.0-beta.23
-  resolution: "@polkadot/rpc-core@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/rpc-core@npm:1.10.0-beta.24":
+  version: 1.10.0-beta.24
+  resolution: "@polkadot/rpc-core@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/rpc-provider": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/rpc-provider": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/util": ^2.8.1
     memoizee: ^0.4.14
     rxjs: ^6.5.5
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-"@polkadot/rpc-provider@npm:1.10.0-beta.23":
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-  resolution: "@polkadot/rpc-provider@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/rpc-provider@npm:1.10.0-beta.24":
+  version: 1.10.0-beta.24
+  resolution: "@polkadot/rpc-provider@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
     "@babel/runtime": ^7.9.2
-    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.23
-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
+    "@polkadot/metadata": 1.10.0-beta.24
+    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.24
     "@polkadot/util": ^2.8.1
     "@polkadot/util-crypto": ^2.8.1
     bn.js: ^5.1.1
     eventemitter3: ^4.0.0
     isomorphic-fetch: ^2.2.1
     websocket: ^1.0.31
-  checksum: 2/4c22a21748d7c4dc725f3412337c0b73cb1866e2c149b7f0d5f35e2340fc8dd700d11ce01fe1322058628059250997982b624065ed139c82d58ab8adfd189ec0
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-"@polkadot/types-known@npm:1.10.0-beta.23":
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-  resolution: "@polkadot/types-known@npm:1.10.0-beta.23"
+"@polkadot/types-known@npm:1.10.0-beta.24":
+  version: 1.10.0-beta.24
+  resolution: "@polkadot/types-known@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
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-    "@polkadot/types": 1.10.0-beta.23
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+  resolution: "@polkadot/types@npm:1.10.0-beta.24"
   dependencies:
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